Stonks Odds & Probabilities

RTP, house edge, expected value, and probability breakdowns for every bet in Stonks.

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RTP
96.0%
House Edge
4.0%
Max Win
1.92x
Volatility
Medium

Probability Breakdown

Each trade is a binary outcome: the next candlestick closes either higher or lower than the open. The probability is exactly 50% for each direction. The payout for a correct call is 1.92x (96% of the fair 2x payout).

House Edge Explained

Stonks has a 4.0% house edge (96.0% RTP). A correct prediction pays 1.92x instead of the fair 2.00x. Over 100 trades, you'd expect to win ~50 (returning 50 × 1.92 = 96 coins for 100 coins wagered).

What Does This Mean for You?

With an RTP of 96.0%, for every 100 coins you wager on Stonks, you can expect to get back approximately 96.0 coins over thousands of rounds. The remaining 4.0% goes to the house.

This is a long-run average. In any single session, your results will vary wildly — that's the variance (volatility: Medium). Short sessions can see 50%+ swings in either direction. The RTP only converges over thousands of rounds.

Rookie's provably fair system means you can verify these odds yourself. Every round is cryptographically determined before you play, and the math is public. No hidden RNG, no server-side manipulation.

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